CO129-438 - Public Offices - 1916 — Page 390

CO129 Colonial Office Hong Kong Records 理藩院香港檔案 All

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SINAZIJN TE BOUGH OHIJA.

It appears that towards the end of Doomber 1915

there have been a number of families leaving Canton, an

signs that others are making ready to love at short notice.

The "ultimatum" sent sme little time baak by

Tannen to the President had no answer up to the 3lat

Decmber. Yunnan, Kweishow, Kwong Sai, and F# Ohuan are all

ratching one another, and full of plans for the declaration

some timŮ.

of independence: if one takes action the others will

probably follow, though Kwong Sai soms loan willing than the

others. Action of this kind by Iwong Sai will of sourne

alosely affect Eweng Tung: but it is hardly probable that

Kwang Tung will follow the lead at least for

General Lung would not be in a position to send troops

against Kwang Bai, even if he wanted to do so, and a

rebellion or declaration of independence by Canton is

unlikely till it is soon how the oat Jumps. Four fiftha

of the soldiers would probably stand by their leaders and

the leaders are very deeply interested in money making

6.g. in opium, of which there are said to be a number of

brande named after the various generaïs, and they are not

prepared to risk all in a hurry,

+

The position is no doubt aritical, but the

cong lusion that the military in Canton still have the

situation there in hand and that there will not be more

than sporadic trouble at least for some time, still se Sma

the correct ɔne. Whichever line they take, for or against

Yuan, they dominate the sitution as long as they are am

united as they no: seem to be: whatever their will may be

it will be for the time the one that prevails.

i.

CADIZION OF GAL? ♬! (so to 3rd January 19161.

Rumours, probably correct, of trouble having

actually broken out have arrived from the Forth River, from

the

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